Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.351788 0.400268 0.455785 0.524695 0.608820 0.709354 0.840405
2024-12-15 0.282034 0.345478 0.426276 0.539438 0.698521 0.922040 1.275646
2024-12-22 0.233904 0.301188 0.393442 0.534645 0.756342 1.113495 1.790156
2024-12-29 0.205361 0.274980 0.376241 0.543145 0.831928 1.360931 2.567990
2025-01-05 0.177056 0.243339 0.343682 0.517866 0.841376 1.495751 3.241763
2025-01-12 0.154604 0.216705 0.313633 0.488850 0.833436 1.591318 3.923090
2025-01-19 0.138076 0.196853 0.291063 0.467609 0.833408 1.704515 4.803847
2025-01-26 0.133239 0.194630 0.296892 0.499016 0.952607 2.180154 7.835433
2025-02-02 0.132480 0.198765 0.314024 0.556213 1.154277 3.062485 16.050419
2025-02-09 0.128373 0.196630 0.319381 0.590363 1.315658 4.003440 32.249071
2025-02-16 0.123137 0.191857 0.318958 0.611606 1.452792 5.046674 68.569195
2025-02-23 0.116353 0.183573 0.310510 0.612211 1.528900 5.935694 141.778182
2025-03-02 0.106922 0.170077 0.290971 0.584439 1.510373 6.352675 254.409522
2025-03-09 0.100604 0.161905 0.281572 0.581126 1.580908 7.548902 965.775003
2025-03-16 0.094289 0.153179 0.269982 0.569867 1.619435 8.675058 7844.153339
2025-03-23 0.090122 0.148166 0.265650 0.577318 1.739146 10.989155 NaN
2025-03-30 0.083754 0.138355 0.249775 0.549323 1.695662 11.529980 NaN
2025-04-06 0.077717 0.128786 0.233559 0.517733 1.624503 11.621378 NaN
2025-04-13 0.072805 0.121126 0.220938 0.494718 1.585376 12.132435 NaN
2025-04-20 0.072115 0.121789 0.227085 0.528680 1.842514 18.895076 NaN
2025-04-27 0.072929 0.125546 0.240873 0.590714 2.317452 39.090522 NaN
2025-05-04 0.072080 0.125784 0.246349 0.627849 2.702562 74.327901 NaN
2025-05-11 0.070515 0.124371 0.247593 0.650986 3.031204 139.814640 NaN